Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury yields and spreads. Read the latest update in the article series, as of January 30, ...

The post How To Speed Up the Search for Cures Through a Change in Probability Theory appeared first on Reason.com.

Most near-Earth asteroids are thought to drift in from the main asteroid belt. But a small subset may have a much closer origin: the moon. One intriguing example is 469219 Kamoʻoalewa (2016 HO3), an ...

After extensive simulations, our model gives Lucie Havlickova a win probability of 47%, while Katie Boulter has a win probability of 53%. This data suggests a competitive matchup, with Boulter ...

Probability-based forecasts can better inform weather-based decision-making, according to new Met Office research.

Regulators evaluate RNG systems to ensure outcomes are not manipulated and that probabilities behave as advertised.

Introduction: Moving Beyond Predictive Accuracy  Prediction has been traditionally the backbone of applied data science. From ...

Organizations embracing agents often fail to estimate the costs of testing their output, with the non-deterministic nature of results often leading to complex and expensive evals.

World models are AI systems that understand physics, space, and cause-and-effect—unlike chatbots that only predict text. Tech ...

Explore the top poker books that shape strategy, probability, mindset and long-term decision making, with examples showing ...

The good news? This isn’t an AI limitation – it’s a design feature. AI’s flexibility to work across domains only works because it doesn’t come preloaded with assumptions about your specific situation.